Welcome to the first bracketology of the 2026–27 men’s college basketball season! With opening day on tap, it is time to take our first look at what the road to March Madness could look like. This edition is particularly significant, as it marks the first ever 76-team bracketology.

With the NCAA Tournament expanding from 68 to 76 teams, the selection process, seeding, and path to a national championship are entering a new era. More teams will have an opportunity to compete for a title, but projecting the field has also become a little more complicated.

As always, there is plenty of uncertainty surrounding these early projections, especially in today’s ever-changing college basketball landscape. Between the transfer portal, player movement, recruiting classes, eligibility decisions, and the constant reshuffling of rosters, predicting which teams will ultimately emerge as tournament contenders is an increasingly difficult task. A team that looks like a national championship threat on paper today could look completely different by conference play, while an overlooked program could quickly establish itself as a legitimate contender.

That uncertainty is part of what makes this exercise so exciting. At this stage, these projections are less about declaring definitive answers and more about identifying potential contenders, examining the strength of each conference, and beginning to separate the teams with realistic tournament aspirations from those facing a much longer climb.

The expanded field adds another fascinating layer to the discussion. While 76 spots should create more opportunities for deserving programs, it also presents new questions about bracket construction, competitive balance, and how teams will navigate the additional opening-round games.

Nevertheless, regardless of the field’s size or the challenges that come with these changes, one thing remains unchanged: the NCAA Tournament is still the greatest single event in sports. There is simply nothing quite like the drama of March, when seasons are defined by buzzer-beaters, Cinderella stories, unforgettable upsets, and championship dreams that can disappear in an instance. From the opening tip to the cutting down of the nets, March Madness captures everything that makes college basketball special.

This first bracketology is only the starting point, and plenty will change between now and Selection Sunday. For now, the goal is to establish an early baseline, spark debate, and begin the long journey toward crowning a national champion in the first 76-team tournament. Let the road to March Madness begin!


Last 12 In (play-in game)

Baylor, Georgia, Ole Miss, Utah State, Providence, Oklahoma State, Marquette, Clemson, TCU, Oklahoma, Maryland, Saint Mary’s

First 4 Out

VCU, Xavier, LSU, Notre Dame

Next 4 Out

New Mexico, SMU, UCF, NC State

Bracketology

Midwest (Kansas City)
Louisville
1 Illinois Fighting Illini Illinois Fighting Illini
16 Howard Bison Howard Bison / Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
8 North Carolina Tar Heels North Carolina Tar Heels
9 Saint Louis Billikens Saint Louis Billikens
Spokane
5 Michigan Wolverines Michigan Wolverines
12 TCU Horned Frogs TCU Horned Frogs / Oklahoma Sooners
4 Iowa State Cyclones Iowa State Cyclones
13 High Point Panthers High Point Panthers
Pittsburgh
6 Kentucky Wildcats Kentucky Wildcats
11 Providence Friars Providence Friars / Oklahoma State Cowboys
3 Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Cavaliers
14 Yale Bulldogs Yale Bulldogs
Fort Worth
7 UCLA Bruins UCLA Bruins
10 West Virginia Mountaineers West Virginia Mountaineers
2 Texas Longhorns Texas Longhorns
15 North Dakota State Bison North Dakota State Bison
South (San Antonio)
Charlotte
1 Florida Gators Florida Gators
16 Queens Royals Queens Royals / American Eagles
8 Villanova Wildcats Villanova Wildcats
9 Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa Hawkeyes
Minneapolis
5 Alabama Crimson Tide Alabama Crimson Tide
12 Wichita State Shockers Wichita State Shockers
4 St. John's Red Storm St. John's Red Storm
13 McNeese Cowboys McNeese Cowboys
Omaha
6 BYU Cougars BYU Cougars
11 Utah State Aggies Utah State Aggies / Georgia Bulldogs
3 Tennessee Volunteers Tennessee Volunteers
14 Akron Zips Akron Zips
Fort Worth
7 Purdue Boilermakers Purdue Boilermakers
10 Auburn Tigers Auburn Tigers
2 Houston Cougars Houston Cougars
15 Austin Peay Governors Austin Peay Governors / East Tennessee State Buccaneers
West (Los Angeles)
Pittsburgh
1 UConn Huskies UConn Huskies
16 Long Island Sharks Long Island Sharks / Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
8 Ohio State Buckeyes Ohio State Buckeyes
9 Cincinnati Bearcats Cincinnati Bearcats
Sacramento
5 Kansas Jayhawks Kansas Jayhawks
12 Santa Clara Broncos Santa Clara Broncos
4 Miami Hurricanes Miami Hurricanes
13 UC Irvine Anteaters UC Irvine Anteaters
Minneapolis
6 Vanderbilt Commodores Vanderbilt Commodores
11 Marquette Golden Eagles Marquette Golden Eagles / Clemson Tigers
3 Louisville Cardinals Louisville Cardinals
14 Liberty Flames Liberty Flames
Sacramento
7 Nebraska Cornhuskers Nebraska Cornhuskers
10 Virginia Tech Hokies Virginia Tech Hokies
2 Arizona Wildcats Arizona Wildcats
15 Robert Morris Colonials Robert Morris Colonials
East (New York)
Charlotte
1 Duke Blue Devils Duke Blue Devils
16 Merrimack Warriors Merrimack Warriors / Vermont Catamounts
8 Indiana Hoosiers Indiana Hoosiers
9 Texas A&M Aggies Texas A&M Aggies
Spokane
5 Texas Tech Red Raiders Texas Tech Red Raiders
12 Maryland Terrapins Maryland Terrapins / Saint Mary's Gaels
4 Gonzaga Bulldogs Gonzaga Bulldogs
13 Hofstra Pride Hofstra Pride
Omaha
6 USC Trojans USC Trojans
11 Baylor Bears Baylor Bears / Ole Miss Rebels
3 Arkansas Razorbacks Arkansas Razorbacks
14 Belmont Bruins Belmont Bruins
Louisville
7 Missouri Tigers Missouri Tigers
10 Wisconsin Badgers Wisconsin Badgers
2 Michigan State Spartans Michigan State Spartans
15 Montana Grizzlies Montana Grizzlies / James Madison Dukes

Bids by Conference

ConferenceNo. of Bids
SEC13
Big Ten12
Big 1211
ACC7
Big East5
Pac-122

Meet your guide

Brad Wachtel

Brad Wachtel

Brad Wachtel, Hoops HQ's lead Bracketologist since 2024, has two decades of experience projecting NCAA Tournament brackets. His NCAA Tournament analysis has appeared on countless outlets, including the Field of 68, SiriusXM College Sports, the Sports Grid, the Asbury Park Press and the Newark Star-Ledger. He is a former men's basketball administrator at Rutgers and director of operations for The Hoop Group.
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